Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:04:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xee36…68fb crypto 1415 markets active 1h ago coverage 224d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$1,420 (-1%) realized −$1,420 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate95%1348W / 67L
Whale WR88%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$68per market
Trades / day6.5pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$24
14 days−$634
30 days−$750
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 71% −$1,521
other 12% +$681
world 10% +$520
politics 3% −$764
finance 3% +$74
sports 1% −$627
tech 1% +$99
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 289 +2.0% -7.8% 98% 3% -9.2%
≤30d 954 -0.2% -9.7% 96% 4% -10.8%
≤90d 1042 -2.0% -11.3% 94% 4% -13.1%
all 1415 -0.3% -9.8% 95% 4% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 4% -11.0%
10% -18.4% 1% -19.5%
15% -26.3% 0% -27.3%
20% -33.5% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 88% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$85 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.73 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

224d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,420
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1348 / 67
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1415 / 1415
History coverage224d
Avg bet$68
Trades / day6.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1415 Trades
no open positions (24 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $24 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $24 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $24 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $23 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $23 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $22 +$3 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $19 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $19 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $18 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $18 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $18 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $18 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $17 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $17 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $34 −$34 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $33 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $33 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $33 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $32 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $32 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $32 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $31 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $31 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $29 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $28 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $28 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $27 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $27 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $54 −$54 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $53 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $52 +$2 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $51 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $49 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $49 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $24 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $24 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $24 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $23 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $23 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $22 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $21 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $21 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $19 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $19 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $19 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $19 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $18 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $18 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $18 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $18 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $18 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $17 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $17 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $34 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $33 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $33 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $33 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2950 history records