Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T05:26:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6.5
score
EE 0xee34…e2c1 sports 16 markets active 0h ago coverage 10d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$7,638 (+89%) realized +$7,638 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt +76% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +52% what you keep after slip
Net edge+52%after slip
Net WR80%break-even
Win rate80%12W / 3L
Drawdown8%max
Avg bet$539per market
Trades / day2.4pace
Fees−$105est.
Kalshi-fit69%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$511
7 days+$6,710
14 days+$7,409
30 days+$7,409
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 67% +$7,463
other 33% −$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +80%
net ROI/market (all)+58.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +96.5% +77.8% 80% 80% +103.7%
≤30d 15 +75.5% +58.8% 80% 80% +74.5%
≤90d 15 +75.5% +58.8% 80% 80% +74.5%
all 15 +75.5% +58.8% 80% 80% +74.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +58.8% 80% +74.5%
10% +43.6% 80% +57.8%
15% +29.7% 80% +42.6%
20% +17.0% 73% +28.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 29% · top 2 57% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +93% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +75% · $-wt +93% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +19% → late +125% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$712 vs −$377 · ×1.89 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×7.55 per $1 lost it wins $7.55
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$7,638
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses12 / 3
Est. fees paid−$105
Open positions0
Markets (closed)15 / 16
History coverage10d
Avg bet$539
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit69%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 15 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? Jun 27 $266 +$370 +139%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $510 −$500 -98%
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Jun 26 $375 +$271 +72%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuel Jun 26 $130 +$370 +285%
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskova Jun 21 $1,582 +$2,430 +154%
Bad Homburg Open: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 21 $1,097 +$2,480 +226%
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Solana Sierra vs Anna Blinkova Jun 21 $665 +$618 +93%
Spread: Japan (-1.5) Jun 21 $509 +$655 +129%
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 Jun 20 $152 +$102 +67%
Figueira Da Foz: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 20 $90 −$88 -98%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $555 −$543 -98%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 20 $294 +$253 +86%
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Jun 19 $491 +$304 +62%
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $357 +$261 +73%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $928 +$424 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $636 14m
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? BUY Yes 41¢ $266 1h
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 34¢ $510 4h
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina SELL Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 100¢ $646 11h
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina BUY Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 57¢ $375 12h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuel BUY Zizou Bergs 26¢ $37 15h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuel BUY Zizou Bergs 26¢ $30 15h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuel BUY Zizou Bergs 26¢ $60 15h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuel BUY Zizou Bergs 26¢ $1 15h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuel BUY Zizou Bergs 26¢ $1 15h
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskova BUY Linda Noskova 39¢ $1,582 5d
Bad Homburg Open: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez SELL Leylah Fernandez 100¢ $3,576 5d
Bad Homburg Open: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez BUY Leylah Fernandez 30¢ $1,097 5d
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Solana Sierra vs Anna Blinkova SELL Solana Sierra 100¢ $1,283 5d
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Solana Sierra vs Anna Blinkova BUY Solana Sierra 51¢ $665 5d
Spread: Japan (-1.5) SELL Japan 100¢ $1,164 5d
Spread: Japan (-1.5) BUY Japan 43¢ $509 6d
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $152 6d
Figueira Da Foz: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Darja Vidmanova BUY Yeon-Woo Ku 22¢ $90 6d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 28¢ $555 7d
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Brazil 53¢ $294 7d
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 61¢ $491 7d
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? AND Will Czechia win on BUY 17¢ $628 8d
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 57¢ $357 10d
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 68¢ $928 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 32 history records