Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:07:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xee2f…f4da
world · 40 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$35 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP world specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses2 / 29
Open positions15
Markets (closed)31 / 40
History coverage15d
Avg bet$272
Trades / day230.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 15 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$4
14 days−$11
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 94¢ 94¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-0%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 94¢ 94¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-0%)
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No 95¢ 95¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No 97¢ 97¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Netanyahu out by June 30? No 98¢ 99¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 98¢ 98¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No 96¢ 96¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 90¢ 80¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-11%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 98¢ 98¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No 98¢ 98¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No 98¢ 99¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? No 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No 95¢ 95¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 77¢ 79¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3%)
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No 79¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Jun 14 $0 $0 -168%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? Jun 14 $0 $0 -337%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 14 $28 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $25 $0 -0%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 14 $15 $0 -0%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 14 $65 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $45 $0 -0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? Jun 14 $5 $0 -0%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 13 $50 $0 -0%
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Jun 13 $62 $0 -0%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $48 $0 -0%
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats Jun 11 $10 $0 -0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? Jun 10 $10 $0 -0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 10 $36 $0 -0%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $5 $0 -8%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Jun 08 $1,976 −$1 -0%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? Jun 08 $8 $0 +1%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $168 $0 -0%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Jun 08 $8 $0 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 06 $7 $0 -0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Jun 06 $77 $0 -0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 06 $21 −$7 -33%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Jun 03 $7 $0 -0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? Jun 02 $7 $0 -0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? Jun 01 $23 $0 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 31 $92 $0 -0%
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? May 30 $8 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 69% −$10
politics 25% $0
other 5% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 12m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 12m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 22m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 22m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 35m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 35m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 49m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 49m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 54m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 54m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 1h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 1h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 1h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL Yes 79¢ $10 2h
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? BUY Yes 79¢ $5 2h
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? SELL No 95¢ $5 2h
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? BUY No 95¢ $5 2h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 2h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 2h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 2h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-21.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -9.2% -17.9% 9% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 31 -13.4% -21.6% 6% 0% -9.9%
≤90d 31 -13.4% -21.6% 6% 0% -9.9%
all 31 -13.4% -21.6% 6% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover230.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.6% 0% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -29.1% 0% -18.5%
15% -36.0% 0% -26.4%
20% -42.2% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.18 · official $16.08 · 3500 history records