Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:25:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xee2a…729b
crypto · 1344 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$893 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$883 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$92
Realized−$883
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses706 / 624
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions12
Markets (closed)1330 / 1344
History coverage47d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day44.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 12 History 1330 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44
7 days−$67
14 days−$409
30 days−$667
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? No 55¢ 86¢ $10 $15 +$6 (+56%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? No 47¢ 54¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+14%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14? No 65¢ 66¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 33¢ 32¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 14? No 62¢ 60¢ $7 $6 −$0 (-4%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? No 47¢ 62¢ $4 $6 +$1 (+33%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 72¢ 78¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 61¢ 72¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+19%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? Yes 17¢ 38¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+121%)
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season? Yes 4¢ 1¢ $22 $4 −$18 (-81%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? Yes 21¢ 14¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-33%)
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 3¢ 3¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14? Yes 12¢ 10¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-21%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $4 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +68%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 −$4 -80%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $5 −$1 -17%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$12 +114%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13? Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 +$42 +449%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Gilberto Mora: 1+ goals Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 11? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10? Jun 12 $20 −$7 -34%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 11? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 10? Jun 12 $34 −$27 -80%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$2 -35%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12? Jun 11 $4 −$1 -18%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 12? Jun 11 $4 $0 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? Jun 11 $4 $0 -5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $9 −$7 -74%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10? Jun 10 $14 −$1 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% −$334
weather 13% −$180
other 4% −$133
sports 3% −$188
world 1% −$63
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 7m
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY No 47¢ $10 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 22m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 24m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $3 24m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 52m
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? SELL Yes 6¢ $3 58m
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 59m
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? SELL Yes 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? SELL Yes 53¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? BUY No 47¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -15.1% -23.2% 44% 44% -23.5%
≤30d 527 -13.7% -21.9% 48% 47% -26.6%
≤90d 1330 -7.6% -16.4% 53% 53% -17.4%
all 1330 -7.6% -16.4% 53% 53% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 53% -17.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 50% -25.3%
15% -31.7% 36% -32.5%
20% -38.4% 25% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $91.79 · official $94.50 · 3500 history records