Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:34:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xee27…43ac
weather · 624 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$30 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$32 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$96
Realized−$32
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses512 / 97
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions15
Markets (closed)609 / 624
History coverage95d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day9.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 15 History 609 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$1
14 days−$15
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13? No 98¢ 99¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 13? No 80¢ 92¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+14%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 13? No 90¢ 100¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+11%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13? Yes 90¢ 95¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 13? No 93¢ 97¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13? No 96¢ 99¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? Yes 95¢ 98¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 13? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13? Yes 95¢ 94¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 13? No 93¢ 91¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 4? No 98¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12? No 99¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 30? No 39¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 7? Yes 12¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on May 30? No 49¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 3? No 90¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on May 30? Yes 94¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2? No 99¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29? No 98¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $37 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $14 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -10%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 11? Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 11? Jun 11 $14 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on June 11? Jun 11 $7 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 42°C on June 11? Jun 11 $8 +$1 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 11? Jun 11 $7 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 11? Jun 11 $11 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $14 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 11? Jun 11 $12 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $14 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $15 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $4 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 7? Jun 08 $4 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 7? Jun 07 $12 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 7? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 4? Jun 04 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 4? Jun 04 $4 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C or higher on June 4? Jun 04 $4 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 4? Jun 04 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3? Jun 04 $3 $0 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 3? Jun 04 $14 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 3? Jun 03 $3 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 82% +$20
crypto 7% −$44
sports 6% −$2
other 6% −$3
world 0% +$1
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 80¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13? BUY Yes 95¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 93¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13? BUY Yes 90¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 93¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $20 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 90¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $13 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 95¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $4 14h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12? SELL No 83¢ $1 16h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 12? BUY No 96¢ $4 19h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $4 19h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $3 19h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12? BUY No 91¢ $1 19h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $4 19h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $4 19h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $7 25h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $2 25h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $3 25h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $7 25h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 96¢ $4 25h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $37 25h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $8 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -3.0% -12.2% 93% 2% -9.8%
≤30d 404 -5.0% -14.1% 86% 4% -10.2%
≤90d 567 -1.2% -10.6% 84% 18% -10.2%
all 609 -0.5% -10.0% 84% 18% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 18% -10.3%
10% -18.6% 14% -18.8%
15% -26.5% 11% -26.7%
20% -33.7% 8% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $95.97 · official $95.99 (match) · 1286 history records