Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T00:18:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
EE 0xee0b…e6d4 other 187 markets active 3h ago coverage 95d
TRAPdo not copy Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$204,503 (+17%) realized +$204,503 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate44%82W / 105L
Whale WR51%big bets
Drawdown34%max
Avg bet$6,542per market
Trades / day20.6pace
Fees−$5,071est.
Kalshi-fit45%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19,100
7 days+$25,539
14 days+$24,779
30 days+$53,369
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 73% +$197,849
sports 27% +$24,920
crypto 0% +$451
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-0.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +56.7% +41.8% 45% 45% +10.7%
≤30d 59 +19.7% +8.3% 44% 44% +4.4%
≤90d 181 +9.5% -1.0% 44% 44% +6.5%
all 187 +10.1% -0.4% 44% 44% +7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover20.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.4% 44% +7.1%
10% -9.9% 44% -3.2%
15% ← realistic here -18.6% 42% -12.5%
20% -26.6% 41% -21.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +18% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +10% · $-wt +18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 51% (≥$9,464) neutral
Persistence
early -2% → late +22% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
10.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$9,276 vs −$5,118 · ×1.81 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.42 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

95d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$204,503
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses82 / 105
Whale WR (big bets)51%
Est. fees paid−$5,071
Open positions0
Markets (closed)187 / 187
History coverage95d
Avg bet$6,542
Trades / day20.6
Drawdown34%
Kalshi-fit45%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 187 Trades
no open positions (60 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 20 $7,969 +$20,493 +257%
Spread: United States (-3.5) Jun 19 $181 −$181 -100%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score Jun 19 $30,190 +$35,572 +118%
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score Jun 19 $443 +$362 +82%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $4,885 −$4,885 -100%
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5 Jun 18 $269 −$269 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $14,467 −$14,467 -100%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 18 $2,920 −$2,920 -100%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $2,398 −$2,398 -100%
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 Jun 18 $1,495 −$1,495 -100%
Ghana leading at halftime? Jun 18 $4,798 +$2,258 +47%
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score Jun 18 $12,971 −$12,971 -100%
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $9,939 −$9,939 -100%
Portugal leading at halftime? Jun 17 $10,417 +$13,258 +127%
Austria leading at halftime? Jun 17 $6,077 −$6,077 -100%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 16 $1,250 −$1,250 -100%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $614 +$6,155 +1003%
Spain leading at halftime? Jun 15 $266 +$841 +317%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $1,083 +$3,487 +322%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $649 +$451 +70%
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $845 −$845 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $342 +$359 +105%
Czechia to score first vs. Korea Republic? Jun 12 $761 −$760 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 02 $1,302 +$953 +73%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $1,803 −$1,777 -99%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 01 $16,206 −$15,990 -99%
Spread: Thunder (-6.5) May 29 $6,546 +$2,300 +35%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $3,883 −$3,603 -93%
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Pl May 28 $1,016 −$1,005 -99%
Valorant: Team Evictix vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America May 27 $3,976 −$321 -8%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $29,295 −$29,295 -100%
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs REBORN (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Playoffs May 27 $6,643 −$6,545 -98%
Spread: Thunder (-11.5) May 27 $1,792 +$5,675 +317%
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $8,325 +$5,955 +72%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $1,802 −$1,770 -98%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 26 $4,851 −$4,778 -98%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 26 $2,823 +$2,292 +81%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) May 26 $18,431 +$19,377 +105%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens May 25 $2,923 −$2,873 -98%
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Eur May 25 $1,386 −$1,207 -87%
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights May 25 $4,314 +$6,207 +144%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $22,102 +$44,872 +203%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1,781 −$1,781 -100%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $4,991 −$4,991 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $13,880 −$13,880 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $25,463 +$21,645 +85%
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $13,209 −$13,195 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 23 $1,813 +$3,366 +186%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 23 $2,895 +$3,837 +133%
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24? May 23 $6,754 +$5,096 +75%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 28¢ $5,538 2h
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 28¢ $12 2h
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 28¢ $10 2h
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 28¢ $6 2h
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 28¢ $1 2h
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 28¢ $8 2h
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 28¢ $2 2h
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 28¢ $451 2h
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 28¢ $5 2h
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 28¢ $12 2h
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 28¢ $67 2h
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 28¢ $544 2h
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 28¢ $853 2h
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 28¢ $461 2h
Spread: United States (-3.5) BUY United States 18¢ $21 4h
Spread: United States (-3.5) BUY United States 18¢ $160 4h
Spread: United States (-3.5) BUY United States 18¢ $0 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 45¢ $4,202 23h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 45¢ $4 23h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 45¢ $3 23h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 45¢ $2 23h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 45¢ $4 23h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 45¢ $27 23h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 45¢ $61 23h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 45¢ $8 23h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 45¢ $4 23h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 45¢ $365 23h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 45¢ $16 23h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 45¢ $8 23h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 45¢ $92 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2152 history records