Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:54:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xee04…1b0b
crypto · 544 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$424 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$449 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized−$449
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses182 / 355
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions7
Markets (closed)537 / 544
History coverage231d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day4.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 7 History 537 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$8
14 days+$22
30 days+$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+21%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Yes 49¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Türkiye leading at halftime? Yes 40¢ 40¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+81%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Haiti leading at halftime? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -57%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-27? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-06? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22? Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-06? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Portugal vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Haiti leading at halftime? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $39 +$41 +107%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $10 +$4 +44%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $20 +$23 +112%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $20 +$14 +71%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $2 +$2 +89%
Will Wales vs. Ghana end in a draw? Jun 02 $4 +$14 +343%
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-28? May 28 $1 $0 +4%
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-27? May 28 $1 +$4 +414%
Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-05-27? May 28 $1 +$5 +509%
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-22? Apr 22 $3 +$3 +89%
Rockets vs. Lakers Apr 22 $10 +$4 +36%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers Apr 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? Apr 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants Apr 22 $6 −$1 -10%
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-21? Apr 22 $17 −$6 -34%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals Apr 22 $3 +$5 +179%
Canadiens vs. Lightning Apr 22 $1 +$2 +173%
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets Apr 22 $2 $0 +7%
76ers vs. Celtics Apr 22 $1 +$3 +346%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: Draw at halftime? Apr 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw? Apr 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Apr 22 $2 −$2 -92%
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21? Apr 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime? Apr 21 $5 −$1 -16%
Will Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw? Apr 21 $1 −$1 -64%
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-20? Apr 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Unión La Calera end in a draw? Apr 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-20? Apr 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs Apr 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% −$316
crypto 31% −$125
sports 21% −$2
world 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Türkiye leading at halftime? BUY Yes 40¢ $3 30m
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $5 30m
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 58m
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 1h
Haiti leading at halftime? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $80 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $18 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $10 7h
Switzerland leading at halftime? SELL Yes 92¢ $15 8h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 62¢ $5 8h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 64¢ $5 8h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $10 13h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $3 13h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 13h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 25h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $43 25h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 27h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 31h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 31h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 31h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $20 31h
Canada leading at halftime? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 32h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 32h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 80¢ $35 32h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $20 38h
Mexico leading at halftime? SELL Yes 88¢ $4 2d
Mexico leading at halftime? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 2d
Mexico leading at halftime? BUY Yes 46¢ $1 2d
Will Portugal vs. Chile end in a draw? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-21.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -62.8% -66.4% 19% 19% -5.3%
≤30d 30 -12.1% -20.5% 30% 27% +6.5%
≤90d 451 -36.6% -42.6% 27% 23% -39.2%
all 537 -13.5% -21.8% 34% 29% -20.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.8% 29% -20.2%
10% -29.2% 23% -27.9%
15% -36.1% 21% -34.8%
20% -42.3% 18% -41.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.77 · official $22.77 (match) · 1402 history records