Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T15:38:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xee00…0b46 crypto 1005 markets active 1h ago coverage 113d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,624 (-2%) realized −$1,625 · open +$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate60%596W / 405L
Whale WR56%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$84per market
Trades / day11.7pace
Fees−$357est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$101now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$424
7 days+$210
14 days+$125
30 days−$5,154
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 58% −$963
sports 38% −$1,894
other 3% +$258
world 0% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +9.9% -0.5% 58% 55% -4.9%
≤30d 454 -42.5% -48.0% 31% 30% -25.2%
≤90d 956 -5.6% -14.6% 60% 50% -11.1%
all 1001 -6.5% -15.4% 60% 49% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.4% 49% -12.4%
10% -23.5% 40% -20.7%
15% -30.9% 33% -28.4%
20% -37.6% 25% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
16% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 56% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +18% → late -31% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$32 vs −$53 · ×0.6 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

113d coverage
Net worth$101
Realized−$1,625
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses596 / 405
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$357
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1001 / 1005
History coverage113d
Avg bet$84
Trades / day11.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1001 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 66¢ 66¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Jun 16 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 16 $103 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $101 +$25 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET Jun 16 $67 +$33 +49%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $102 −$102 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 16 $505 −$168 -33%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 15 $203 −$203 -100%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $10 +$28 +276%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $10 +$15 +146%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $10 +$13 +124%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$8 +76%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $102 +$116 +114%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $101 +$53 +52%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $101 −$101 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $102 −$102 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $203 −$203 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $101 +$58 +57%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $101 +$34 +34%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $102 +$121 +119%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $102 +$107 +105%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $200 +$200 +100%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $100 −$100 -100%
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5) Jun 10 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET Jun 10 $103 +$56 +55%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5 Jun 10 $51 +$49 +96%
China PR vs. Thailand: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6AM ET Jun 10 $104 −$104 -100%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $203 +$232 +114%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $724 +$260 +36%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $203 +$168 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5AM ET Jun 09 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 09 $102 +$42 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $71 +$29 +40%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Jun 09 $304 −$304 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 09 $305 −$305 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1,115 +$254 +23%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $101 −$101 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $102 −$102 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $508 −$508 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $303 +$145 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 08 $99 +$101 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10PM ET Jun 08 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET Jun 08 $205 +$91 +44%
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5) Jun 08 $102 +$98 +97%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $102 +$107 +105%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $102 −$102 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $104 −$104 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? SELL No 0¢ $0 1h
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will N BUY 45¢ $113 1h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $103 1h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? BUY 56¢ $607 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $101 6h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 66¢ $101 6h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? AND BUY 49¢ $102 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $14 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $18 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 9h
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $102 20h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Natus Vincere 68¢ $337 20h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 66¢ $505 23h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY FUT Esports 57¢ $203 25h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? BUY No 21¢ $10 3d
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 3d
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $10 3d
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 40¢ $10 3d
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 BUY Over 44¢ $10 3d
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY B8 56¢ $10 3d
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $10 3d
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $102 4d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $101 5d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 74¢ $101 5d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 48¢ $102 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $100.76 · official $910.95 · 2372 history records