Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:59:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xee00…cea1
sports · 101 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$140,288 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$96,580 · open −$14,352
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$41,480
Realized+$96,580
Unrealized−$14,352
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses68 / 30
Whale WR (big bets)68%
Est. fees paid−$25,706
Open positions18
Markets (closed)98 / 101
History coverage20d
Avg bet$34,961
Trades / day169.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 18 History 98 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$107,055
7 days−$191,791
14 days+$101,226
30 days+$96,580
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 72¢ 68¢ $31,981 $30,427 −$1,555 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 31¢ 34¢ $4,189 $4,594 +$405 (+10%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 97¢ 19¢ $15,731 $3,089 −$12,642 (-80%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 69¢ 66¢ $2,879 $2,754 −$125 (-4%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 83¢ 81¢ $603 $586 −$18 (-3%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 91¢ 91¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+0%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? No 60¢ 20¢ $25 $8 −$16 (-67%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 50¢ 85¢ $4 $7 +$3 (+70%)
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 50¢ 98¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+95%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 95¢ 95¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 83¢ 84¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 88¢ 96¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+9%)
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 97¢ 99¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 84¢ 83¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-2%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 97¢ 96¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 91¢ 92¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 89¢ 90¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes $0 $0 +$0 (+50%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 50¢ 15¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-70%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $63,953 +$29,406 +46%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $7,584 +$2,960 +39%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $19,668 +$5,281 +27%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,244 +$1,313 +58%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $13,661 +$26,518 +194%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,155 +$2,384 +111%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $64,800 −$64,800 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $10,774 +$19,154 +178%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $12,016 +$2,461 +20%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $6,710 −$6,710 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $120,039 +$38,795 +32%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $14,797 +$5,044 +34%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $249,766 +$250 +0%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $55,000 +$45,000 +82%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $65,514 −$65,514 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $1,800 +$161 +9%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 09 $5,468 −$2,391 -44%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $8,953 +$756 +8%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $18,345 +$2,741 +15%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $19,296 +$14,126 +73%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $77,513 +$50,684 +65%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) Jun 08 $14 −$14 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $4,463 −$4,463 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $58,861 −$58,861 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $909 −$909 -100%
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 173.5 Jun 07 $47,700 −$47,700 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $2,176 +$2,176 +100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $3,815 +$1,272 +33%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $14,574 −$266 -2%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $40,309 +$1,889 +5%
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 07 $41,541 +$26,873 +65%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $7,623 +$3,114 +41%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $11,367 +$11,028 +97%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $42,034 +$33,765 +80%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $93,500 +$56,500 +60%
UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, P Jun 07 $252,165 +$245 +0%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $186,223 −$186,223 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $31,820 −$31,807 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $2,615 +$460 +18%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $3,631 +$1,955 +54%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $58,681 −$46,168 -79%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $9,643 +$6,315 +66%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $31,437 +$41,672 +133%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $66,000 +$34,000 +52%
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire Jun 06 $37,800 −$37,800 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $239 −$239 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $2,310 −$2,310 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $3,289 −$3,289 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $3,461 −$3,461 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $52,160 −$52,160 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$89,685
other 3% −$7,457
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 72¢ $4,366 18m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 72¢ $27,847 18m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 31¢ $4,275 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 69¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 69¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 69¢ $45 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 69¢ $1,113 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 69¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 69¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 69¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 69¢ $224 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 69¢ $48 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 69¢ $1,403 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $25 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $9 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $5 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $51 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $6,726 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $72 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $8 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $51 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $7 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $514 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $13 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $5 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $12 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $26 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $8 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+6.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 -0.6% -10.0% 61% 51% -18.2%
≤30d 98 +17.6% +6.4% 69% 55% -7.0%
≤90d 98 +17.6% +6.4% 69% 55% -7.0%
all 98 +17.6% +6.4% 69% 55% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover169.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.4% 55% -7.0%
10% -3.8% 46% -15.9%
15% ← realistic here -13.1% 35% -24.0%
20% -21.6% 27% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41,480.35 · official $41,477.36 (match) · 3500 history records