trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -3.6% | -12.7% | 0% | 0% | -12.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -1.9% | -11.2% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -3.2% | -12.5% | 0% | 0% | -10.0% |
| all | 23 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 43% | 4% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.5% | 4% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -20.9% | 4% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -28.6% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -35.6% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | Yes | 83¢ | 81¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 13 | $22 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | May 19 | $362 | −$1 | -0% |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? | May 10 | $77 | $0 | -0% |
| Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Mar 23 | $68 | $0 | -0% |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Mar 17 | $11 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National A | Mar 15 | $11 | $0 | -2% |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Mar 06 | $61 | −$2 | -4% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | Feb 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Feb 19 | $13 | $0 | +3% |
| Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026? | Feb 16 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tarique Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the | Feb 11 | $15 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand? | Feb 08 | $17 | +$5 | +32% |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? | Feb 02 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? | Jan 18 | $17 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Union Progressiste pour le Renouveau (UPR) win the most seats in | Jan 06 | $18 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? | Jan 05 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | Dec 22 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on | Nov 30 | $17 | $0 | +2% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novem | Nov 27 | $17 | $0 | +1% |
| Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Nov 22 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | Nov 22 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 18 | $11 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Google have the best AI model on October 31? | Nov 02 | $1 | $0 | +5% |