Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:35:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xedf0…a1d3
sports · 7 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$480 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$463 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,312
Realized+$463
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses3 / 2
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions2
Markets (closed)5 / 7
History coverage2d
Avg bet$637
Trades / day13.4
Drawdown64%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 2 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$463
7 days+$463
14 days+$463
30 days+$463
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $893 $884 −$9 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score No 46¢ 46¢ $432 $428 −$5 (-1%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $269 $0 −$269 (-100%)
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $1,609 +$371 +23%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 14 $146 +$152 +104%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $275 −$269 -98%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1,045 +$238 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 56% +$220
other 23% +$238
politics 20% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 46¢ $53 20m
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 46¢ $40 21m
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 46¢ $63 22m
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 46¢ $195 22m
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 46¢ $89 23m
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele BUY Yes 51¢ $95 1h
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele BUY Yes 51¢ $408 1h
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele BUY Yes 51¢ $408 1h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 27¢ $275 9h
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 19¢ $14 13h
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 18¢ $9 18h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 49¢ $49 23h
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 18¢ $8 27h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 48¢ $98 30h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $402 31h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $402 31h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $402 31h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $402 31h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 81¢ $93 41h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 81¢ $402 41h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 81¢ $65 41h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 81¢ $402 41h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 81¢ $83 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -10.0% -18.6% 60% 60% +4.0%
≤30d 5 -10.0% -18.6% 60% 60% +4.0%
≤90d 5 -10.0% -18.6% 60% 60% +4.0%
all 5 -10.0% -18.6% 60% 60% +4.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.4 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.6% 60% +4.0%
10% ← realistic here -26.4% 60% -6.0%
15% -33.5% 20% -15.0%
20% -40.0% 20% -23.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,311.71 · official $1,311.71 (match) · 26 history records