Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:40:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xedee…7139
crypto · 591 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,283 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,283 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$41
Realized−$3,283
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses280 / 686
Open positions0
Markets (closed)966 / 591
History coverage4d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day689.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 966 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,662
7 days−$3,283
14 days−$3,283
30 days−$3,283
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $23 $41 +$18 (+78%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 15? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 13? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 15? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 15? Jun 13 $50 −$93 -184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 13? Jun 13 $33 −$73 -226%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 15? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$186
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $12 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $12 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $12 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $12 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $13 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $13 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $11 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $12 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-45.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 966 -40.1% -45.8% 29% 22% -21.2%
≤30d 966 -40.1% -45.8% 29% 22% -21.2%
≤90d 966 -40.1% -45.8% 29% 22% -21.2%
all 966 -40.1% -45.8% 29% 22% -21.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover689.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -45.8% 22% -21.2%
10% ← realistic here -51.0% 19% -28.7%
15% -55.7% 17% -35.6%
20% -60.1% 17% -41.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.34 · official $41.34 (match) · 3500 history records