Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T23:26:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
ED 0xedea…02ca crypto 96 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (100 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$30 · open −$30
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%93W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$28per market
Trades / day100.0pace
Kalshi-fit73%portable
Net worth$31now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 74% +$3
other 26% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (100 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 +1.6% -8.1% 100% 0% -8.1%
≤30d 93 +1.6% -8.1% 100% 0% -8.1%
≤90d 93 +1.6% -8.1% 100% 0% -8.1%
all 93 +1.6% -8.1% 100% 0% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover100.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 0% -8.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 0% -16.9%
15% -24.9% 0% -24.9%
20% -32.3% 0% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs — no data
Profit factor
no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$31
Realized+$30
Unrealized−$30
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses93 / 0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)93 / 96
History coverage1d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day100.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit73%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 3 History 93 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 99¢ 50¢ $30 $15 −$15 (-49%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 99¢ 50¢ $30 $15 −$15 (-49%)
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 99¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-49%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$1 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$1 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$1 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$1 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$1 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$1 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 21 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$2 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 21 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 21 $30 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 2m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 2m
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 11m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $30 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 22m
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 32m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 32m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 42m
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 52m
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 52m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.76 · official $30.76 (match) · 193 history records