Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:56:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xeddc…d7e3
crypto · 795 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$8,444 -34%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,444 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$8,444
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses221 / 627
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)848 / 795
History coverage20d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day160.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 848 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,014
7 days−$6,694
14 days−$9,015
30 days−$8,444
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $380 $0 −$380 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $380 −$380 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $138 −$138 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $475 −$475 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $282 −$282 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,090
sports 0% +$9
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $20 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $20 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $20 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-37.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 548 -69.3% -72.2% 12% 10% -57.5%
≤30d 848 -30.7% -37.3% 26% 19% -34.4%
≤90d 848 -30.7% -37.3% 26% 19% -34.4%
all 848 -30.7% -37.3% 26% 19% -34.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover160.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -37.3% 19% -34.4%
10% ← realistic here -43.3% 16% -40.6%
15% -48.8% 14% -46.4%
20% -53.8% 12% -51.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.90 · official $0.90 (match) · 3500 history records