Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T13:43:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
ED 0xedda…40d0 crypto 19 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL −$17 (-3%) realized −$17 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate74%14W / 5L
Drawdown75%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day19.0pace
Kalshi-fit58%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 57% +$14
other 43% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +2.4% -7.4% 74% 32% -4.9%
≤30d 19 +2.4% -7.4% 74% 32% -4.9%
≤90d 19 +2.4% -7.4% 74% 32% -4.9%
all 19 +2.4% -7.4% 74% 32% -4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.4% 32% -4.9%
10% -16.2% 5% -14.0%
15% -24.3% 5% -22.3%
20% -31.7% 0% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 36% · top 2 51% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
50% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late +10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$4 · ×0.82 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.31 per $1 lost it wins $2.31
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses14 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)19 / 19
History coverage1d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown75%
Kalshi-fit58%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 19 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 29 $59 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 29 $40 +$16 +40%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 29 $35 +$7 +19%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 29 $35 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 29 $30 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 29 $30 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 -0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 29 $6 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 29 $28 +$3 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 29 $20 +$4 +19%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 29 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 29 $20 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 29 $20 +$2 +12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 29 $20 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 28 $19 −$19 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 28 $19 +$1 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 28 $19 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 28 $19 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 38 history records