trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 33% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 17 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 35% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 35% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 25 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 48% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.1% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -17.8% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -25.7% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 90¢ | 90¢ | $41 | $41 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 16 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $87 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 15 | $22 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $95 | +$1 | +1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 10 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 10 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 07 | $44 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Jun 07 | $2 | $0 | +8% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 06 | $79 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 05 | $17 | −$1 | -6% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 05 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 04 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 03 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $2 | $0 | -5% |
| Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 National League Championship? | Jun 24 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30? | Jun 07 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 05 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in May? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 25 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Mar 28? | Mar 29 | $13 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 24 | $13 | $0 | +0% |