Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:43:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xedc8…3296
other · 459 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$3,060 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,808 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$424
Realized+$2,808
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses317 / 135
Whale WR (big bets)77%
Est. fees paid−$114
Open positions10
Markets (closed)452 / 459
Avg bet$199
Trades / day64.4
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit41%
Chart Positions 10 History 452 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$263
7 days+$1,012
14 days+$1,272
30 days+$2,167
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $160 in June? No 82¢ 70¢ $131 $111 −$19 (-15%)
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in June? No 96¢ 93¢ $75 $73 −$2 (-3%)
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $152 in June? No 61¢ 62¢ $72 $73 +$1 (+1%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June? No 94¢ 92¢ $74 $72 −$2 (-3%)
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June? No 94¢ 94¢ $48 $48 −$0 (-1%)
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $172 in June? No 26¢ 33¢ $32 $42 +$9 (+29%)
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? Down 62¢ 56¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-10%)
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 in June? No 31¢ 80¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+160%)
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $170 in June? No 35¢ 46¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+31%)
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? Yes 5¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-83%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 23? Up 9¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Trump Vodka" or "Trump Steak" in April? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $92 in May? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9? Up 45¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 29? Up 18¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 1? Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 2? Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6? Down 8¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 19? Down 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28? Up 44¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 28? Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $705 on April 27? No 3¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of April 27 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 2? Down 32¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Trump say "Trump Vodka" or "Trump Steak" in April? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 202 Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $43 −$3 -8%
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $38 +$4 +10%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 12? Jun 12 $116 −$4 -4%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 in June? Jun 12 $118 +$59 +50%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in June? Jun 12 $60 +$11 +19%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $168 in June? Jun 12 $575 +$108 +19%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $90 $0 +0%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $300 +$17 +6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? Jun 11 $360 +$2 +0%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $222 +$36 +16%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $38 +$1 +4%
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $52 +$10 +20%
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $139 −$17 -12%
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $89 +$8 +9%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $116 +$13 +11%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June? Jun 11 $883 +$72 +8%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $50 −$15 -29%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 12? Jun 11 $2 −$1 -61%
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $87 +$15 +17%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $88 +$13 +15%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $89 +$22 +25%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in June? Jun 11 $188 +$4 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 12? Jun 10 $7 −$2 -30%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $96 in June? Jun 10 $178 +$2 +1%
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $499 −$92 -18%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June? Jun 10 $100 +$1 +1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? Jun 10 $438 +$25 +6%
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $49 −$1 -3%
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $164 +$7 +4%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $421 +$135 +32%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June? Jun 10 $404 +$73 +18%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June? Jun 10 $425 +$24 +6%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $702 +$25 +4%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $76 +$3 +3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June? Jun 10 $177 +$17 +10%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $30 +$3 +9%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $185 +$95 +52%
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $251 +$151 +60%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? Jun 09 $199 $0 +0%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June? Jun 09 $548 −$127 -23%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June? Jun 09 $223 −$10 -4%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 9? Jun 09 $99 $0 -0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? Jun 09 $247 −$8 -3%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $117 +$3 +2%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $4 $0 +12%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in June? Jun 09 $597 +$16 +3%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $90 −$90 -100%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 08 $181 +$18 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 69% +$3,084
tech 14% −$216
finance 10% −$209
sports 5% +$257
crypto 1% −$15
politics 0% −$76
economics 0% $0
weather 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 56¢ $11 9m
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 56¢ $28 9m
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 75¢ $6 10m
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $172 in June? SELL No 40¢ $39 14m
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 62¢ $3 15m
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June? BUY No 94¢ $48 22m
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 12? SELL No 86¢ $107 24m
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 12? BUY No 83¢ $17 36m
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $172 in June? BUY No 30¢ $15 41m
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 in June? SELL No 26¢ $22 46m
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $172 in June? SELL No 30¢ $30 47m
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 60¢ $43 1h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 12? BUY No 86¢ $9 1h
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 71¢ $4 1h
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 65¢ $16 1h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 12? SELL No 92¢ $5 1h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 12? BUY No 91¢ $91 1h
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 74¢ $4 2h
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 62¢ $3 2h
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in June? SELL Yes 32¢ $29 2h
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June? SELL No 93¢ $46 2h
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 46¢ $2 3h
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June? SELL No 93¢ $7 3h
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June? SELL No 93¢ $7 3h
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June? SELL No 93¢ $7 3h
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June? SELL No 93¢ $7 3h
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in June? SELL Yes 32¢ $0 3h
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in June? SELL Yes 32¢ $7 3h
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in June? SELL Yes 32¢ $0 3h
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in June? SELL Yes 32¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+0.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 89 +1.3% -8.4% 71% 34% -3.9%
≤30d 321 +5.4% -4.7% 71% 23% -6.4%
≤90d 452 +10.7% +0.2% 70% 25% -6.4%
all 452 +10.7% +0.2% 70% 25% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.2% 25% -6.4%
10% ← realistic here -9.4% 10% -15.4%
15% -18.1% 6% -23.6%
20% -26.2% 4% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $423.66 · official $423.25 (match) · 3500 history records