Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T13:30:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
ED 0xedc5…11c5 crypto 502 markets active 1h ago coverage 28d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$235 (-5%) realized −$235 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate83%418W / 84L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day18.1pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$7
14 days−$2
30 days−$302
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$296
sports 0% −$1
other 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 +6.6% -3.6% 84% 84% -3.4%
≤30d 502 -2.6% -11.9% 83% 29% -15.1%
≤90d 502 -2.6% -11.9% 83% 29% -15.1%
all 502 -2.6% -11.9% 83% 29% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover18.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.9% 29% -15.1%
10% -20.3% 22% -23.2%
15% -28.0% 12% -30.6%
20% -35.1% 10% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
61% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$19 · ×0.16 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$235
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses418 / 84
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)502 / 502
History coverage28d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day18.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 502 Trades
no open positions (79 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 926 history records