Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:47:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xedc0…8b44
crypto · 670 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7,084 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,095 · open +$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$7,095
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses389 / 694
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1083 / 670
History coverage4d
Avg bet$68
Trades / day713.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1083 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,424
7 days−$7,095
14 days−$7,095
30 days−$7,095
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 0¢ 42¢ $0 $11 +$11 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$238
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $16 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $16 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $8 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $17 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $17 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $17 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $17 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $17 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $16 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $17 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $17 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $14 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-44.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1083 -38.4% -44.3% 36% 20% -22.2%
≤30d 1083 -38.4% -44.3% 36% 20% -22.2%
≤90d 1083 -38.4% -44.3% 36% 20% -22.2%
all 1083 -38.4% -44.3% 36% 20% -22.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover713.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -44.3% 20% -22.2%
10% ← realistic here -49.6% 15% -29.6%
15% -54.5% 10% -36.4%
20% -58.9% 7% -42.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.79 · official $13.13 · 3500 history records