Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:51:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xedb5…d864
crypto · 163 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$83 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$68 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$68
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses73 / 89
Open positions1
Markets (closed)162 / 163
History coverage17d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day50.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 162 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35
7 days−$71
14 days−$30
30 days−$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$15 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$20 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$21 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$12 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$8 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$14 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$11 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$12 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$38 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$13 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$23 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$31 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$27 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$58 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$20 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$24 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$17 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$24 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$36 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$21 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$34 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$30 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$33 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$30 +430%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$83
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $8 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $8 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $9 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $9 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $9 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $12 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $4 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $6 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $6 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $12 52m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 -9.5% -18.1% 45% 42% -14.2%
≤30d 162 -7.0% -15.9% 45% 41% -11.7%
≤90d 162 -7.0% -15.9% 45% 41% -11.7%
all 162 -7.0% -15.9% 45% 41% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 41% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.9% 40% -20.1%
15% -31.3% 34% -27.9%
20% -38.0% 30% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.23 · official $0.23 (match) · 895 history records