Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T03:50:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
ED 0xed9e…3800 crypto 1750 markets active 0h ago coverage 30d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 30d only
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$552 (-2%) realized −$552 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate95%1671W / 79L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day57.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$50
14 days−$50
30 days−$173
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$176
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 408 -0.7% -10.1% 93% 11% -10.2%
≤30d 1720 -0.5% -10.0% 95% 4% -10.0%
≤90d 1750 -0.5% -10.0% 95% 4% -10.0%
all 1750 -0.5% -10.0% 95% 4% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover57.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 4% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 0% -18.6%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
94% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$19 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$552
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1671 / 79
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1750 / 1750
History coverage30d ⚠
Avg bet$18
Trades / day57.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1750 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $12 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $12 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $12 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $12 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $12 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records