Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:14:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed96…abce
other · 49 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$13 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses17 / 32
Open positions0
Markets (closed)49 / 49
History coverage480d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 0 History 49 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $60 −$1 -2%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 13 $51 $0 +0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 12 $35 $0 -0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 12 $37 +$1 +4%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 09 $1 $0 +3%
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship Dec 14 $2 $0 -25%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Dec 14 $3 +$1 +20%
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August Jul 03 $6 −$1 -19%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? Jun 26 $2 −$1 -58%
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? Jun 26 $29 +$1 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? Jun 24 $14 $0 -0%
Will Tim Stokely buy TikTok before July? Jun 22 $14 $0 +0%
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people? Jun 20 $14 $0 +0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? Jun 20 $15 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June? Jun 19 $12 +$1 +10%
Will Trump deport less than 250,000? Jun 19 $5 $0 +3%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan? Jun 18 $10 $0 -2%
Will Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup? Jun 17 $11 $0 +0%
Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 Jun 16 $15 $0 +0%
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? Jun 15 $12 $0 +0%
Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion? Jun 14 $12 $0 -0%
Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? Jun 13 $14 $0 -0%
Will Cameron Young win The 2025 U.S. Open? Jun 12 $15 $0 -2%
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference? Jun 11 $16 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025? Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year? Jun 08 $14 $0 +2%
Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? Jun 05 $4 $0 +0%
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31? Jun 04 $3 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May? Jun 04 $19 $0 +1%
Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elec Jun 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 23–30? May 25 $6 $0 +0%
Will the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Pr May 24 $3 +$2 +61%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? May 19 $23 $0 -0%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31 May 19 $22 +$1 +3%
Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10? May 19 $23 +$2 +9%
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? May 17 $24 $0 -1%
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%? May 14 $24 $0 +0%
Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after th May 14 $24 $0 -2%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2000 on May 9? May 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? May 12 $24 $0 -0%
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31? May 11 $13 $0 +0%
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 11 $7 +$5 +78%
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? May 11 $13 $0 +0%
Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the May 10 $13 $0 +0%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series? May 10 $13 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? May 09 $19 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $101000 and $103000 on May 9? May 08 $26 −$8 -29%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1500 on May 9? May 08 $26 $0 +0%
Alabama vs. Missouri Mar 04 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 26% $0
other 22% +$2
politics 19% −$2
crypto 16% −$8
tech 9% +$1
economics 5% −$1
sports 2% −$5
culture 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 25¢ $8 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 25¢ $12 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 25¢ $6 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 25¢ $1 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 25¢ $24 1h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 41¢ $16 12h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY No 41¢ $9 17h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY No 41¢ $8 17h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $28 27h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $7 27h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $35 31h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? SELL No 81¢ $39 36h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY No 78¢ $37 37h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 61¢ $34 4d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 63¢ $35 4d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 4d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 4d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 4d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 55¢ $35 5d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 55¢ $35 5d
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August SELL Yes 3¢ $1 345d
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 352d
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 352d
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? SELL No 99¢ $7 352d
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? SELL No 97¢ $14 354d
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? BUY No 98¢ $14 355d
Will Tim Stokely buy TikTok before July? SELL No 99¢ $14 356d
Will Tim Stokely buy TikTok before July? BUY No 99¢ $14 358d
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people? SELL No 98¢ $14 358d
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people? BUY No 98¢ $14 358d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +0.9% -8.7% 40% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 5 +0.9% -8.7% 40% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 5 +0.9% -8.7% 40% 0% -9.4%
all 49 -5.0% -14.0% 35% 6% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.0% 6% -11.0%
10% -22.2% 4% -19.5%
15% -29.8% 4% -27.3%
20% -36.6% 4% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 150 history records