trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals | Seattle Mariners | 58¢ | 57¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 58¢ | 57¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins | 56¢ | 56¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians | Detroit Tigers | 47¢ | 46¢ | $11 | $11 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox | Los Angeles Dodgers | 60¢ | 58¢ | $9 | $9 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Arizona Diamondbacks | 56¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) | Heat | 47¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Spread: Magic (-14.5) | Magic | 47¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Spread: Clippers (-2.5) | Timberwolves | 47¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Spread: Pistons (-14.5) | 76ers | 46¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Spread: Raptors (-2.5) | Raptors | 48¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | Cavaliers | 47¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles | Seattle Mariners | 52¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | Atlanta Braves | 59¢ | 0¢ | $36 | $0 | −$36 (-100%) |
| Spread: Hornets (-12.5) | Hornets | 46¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 59¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | Spurs | 48¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Spread: Suns (-9.5) | Pacers | 45¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | Thunder | 48¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Spread: Hawks (-14.5) | Hawks | 48¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) | Bucks | 48¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Spread: Hawks (-15.5) | Hawks | 48¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Spread: Magic (-17.5) | Magic | 47¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants | Washington Nationals | 50¢ | 0¢ | $18 | $0 | −$18 (-100%) |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $300 | $0 | −$300 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 12 | $4 | +$3 | +60% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics | Jun 11 | $10 | +$9 | +93% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Jun 11 | $11 | +$8 | +71% |
| Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants | Jun 10 | $18 | −$18 | -98% |
| Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants | Jun 10 | $20 | +$19 | +93% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Jun 10 | $32 | +$31 | +97% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | Jun 09 | $292 | −$40 | -14% |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Jun 06 | $10 | +$6 | +60% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5 | Jun 06 | $10 | +$9 | +93% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs | Jun 05 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Jun 05 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | May 13 | $305 | −$300 | -98% |
| Spread: Mavericks (-4.5) | May 13 | $5 | +$5 | +108% |
| Spread: Pistons (-15.5) | May 13 | $5 | +$5 | +108% |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) | May 13 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Spread: Heat (-9.5) | May 13 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Spread: Magic (-13.5) | May 13 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) | May 13 | $5 | +$5 | +108% |
| Spread: Hornets (-13.5) | May 13 | $5 | +$5 | +108% |
| Spread: Magic (-15.5) | May 13 | $5 | +$5 | +108% |
| Spread: Pistons (-19.5) | May 13 | $5 | +$5 | +108% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) | May 13 | $5 | +$5 | +108% |
| Spread: Hawks (-16.5) | May 13 | $5 | +$5 | +113% |
| Spread: Suns (-8.5) | May 13 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) | May 13 | $19 | −$9 | -47% |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) | May 13 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Spread: Hawks (-12.5) | May 13 | $5 | +$5 | +113% |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) | May 13 | $5 | +$5 | +113% |
| Spread: Magic (-16.5) | May 13 | $5 | +$5 | +113% |
| Spread: Raptors (-1.5) | May 13 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | May 13 | $5 | +$6 | +117% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | May 13 | $14 | +$1 | +4% |
| Spread: Lakers (-10.5) | May 13 | $14 | +$6 | +41% |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | Mar 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) | Mar 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | Mar 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Suns (-9.5) | Mar 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) | Mar 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Hawks (-14.5) | Mar 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Hawks (-15.5) | Mar 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) | Mar 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Pistons (-14.5) | Mar 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Magic (-14.5) | Mar 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Magic (-17.5) | Mar 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) | Mar 12 | $14 | −$4 | -28% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) | Mar 12 | $10 | +$11 | +110% |
| Spread: Hornets (-12.5) | Mar 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Clippers (-2.5) | Mar 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Hawks (-8.5) | Mar 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +26.6% | +14.6% | 70% | 70% | +7.1% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +5.5% | -4.5% | 58% | 58% | -5.2% |
| ≤90d | 34 | +38.9% | +25.7% | 79% | 59% | -41.8% |
| all | 792 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 51% | 46% | -11.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.8% | 46% | -11.2% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 44% | -19.7% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 42% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 39% | -34.6% |