Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:18:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
ED 0xed91…a270 crypto 72 markets active 6d ago coverage 67d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$5 (+1%) realized +$5 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate36%26W / 46L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day5.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 67d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -1.3% -10.7% 38% 32% -14.1%
≤30d 63 -3.8% -13.0% 37% 30% -14.4%
≤90d 72 -2.7% -12.0% 36% 28% -14.5%
all 72 -2.7% -12.0% 36% 28% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.0% 28% -14.5%
10% -20.4% 17% -22.6%
15% -28.1% 12% -30.1%
20% -35.2% 7% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
19% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +24% → late -29% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×1.08 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.61 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

67d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses26 / 46
Open positions0
Markets (closed)72 / 72
History coverage67d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day5.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 72 Trades
no open positions (18 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $15 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 10 $25 −$7 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $23 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $14 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$3 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$3 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$6 +291%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $7 $0 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 433 history records