Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:30:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed89…358f
crypto · 1738 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$516 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$516 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$516
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses387 / 1351
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1738 / 1738
History coverage39d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day49.4
Drawdown58%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 0 History 1738 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$614
14 days+$476
30 days+$408
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$5 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$510
other 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-56.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 198 -8.6% -17.3% 54% 52% -26.3%
≤30d 690 -19.4% -27.1% 49% 43% -7.2%
≤90d 1738 -51.5% -56.1% 22% 20% -6.7%
all 1738 -51.5% -56.1% 22% 20% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -56.1% 20% -6.7%
10% ← realistic here -60.3% 19% -15.6%
15% -64.1% 16% -23.8%
20% -67.7% 11% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records