Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:09:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed7a…a656
crypto · 1777 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$907 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,141 · open +$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$32
Realized+$1,141
Unrealized+$12
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses1031 / 643
Est. fees paid−$238
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1674 / 1777
History coverage44d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day53.9
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1674 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$409
7 days−$957
14 days−$807
30 days+$467
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026? Yes 5¢ 8¢ $20 $32 +$12 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 56% +$232
sports 44% +$1,442
other 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-5.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 955 +7.3% -2.9% 58% 57% -17.6%
≤30d 1257 +7.8% -2.5% 64% 63% -7.1%
≤90d 1674 +4.6% -5.4% 62% 61% -4.8%
all 1674 +4.6% -5.4% 62% 61% -4.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.4% 61% -4.8%
10% ← realistic here -14.4% 59% -13.9%
15% -22.7% 45% -22.2%
20% -30.3% 39% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.80 · official $31.80 (match) · 3500 history records