Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:20:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed70…fbb9
crypto · 528 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,706 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,414 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,414
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses351 / 177
Est. fees paid−$32
Open positions0
Markets (closed)528 / 528
History coverage18d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day80.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 528 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$333
7 days−$620
14 days−$1,956
30 days−$2,414
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$12 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $81 −$8 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $80 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$8 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$15 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $71 +$12 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$13 +26%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Jun 14 $143 −$140 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$13 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$5 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$19 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$8 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$13 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$10 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $309 −$300 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $437 −$429 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$19 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$7 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$23 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$16 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$17 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$19 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$10 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $112 +$50 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$13 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $61 +$15 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $82 +$35 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $111 +$30 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $81 +$27 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $60 +$16 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $61 +$21 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$9 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$1,689
sports 3% −$725
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $20 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $30 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $30 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $20 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $82 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $30 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $30 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $20 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $28 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $11 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $30 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $20 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $35 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $21 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $20 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $69 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $15 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $30 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $20 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $63 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $30 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 8¢ $10 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 8¢ $31 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 45¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 115 +2.0% -7.7% 72% 70% -18.9%
≤30d 528 -3.2% -12.4% 66% 62% -14.7%
≤90d 528 -3.2% -12.4% 66% 62% -14.7%
all 528 -3.2% -12.4% 66% 62% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover80.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 62% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 57% -22.9%
15% -28.4% 35% -30.3%
20% -35.5% 11% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1824 history records