Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:24:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed6f…9bf4
crypto · 109 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,013 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,288 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$2,288
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses12 / 96
Est. fees paid−$68
Open positions1
Markets (closed)108 / 109
History coverage11d
Avg bet$208
Trades / day40.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 1 History 108 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$368
7 days−$1,297
14 days−$2,288
30 days−$2,288
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BetBoom Team 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Will Kosovo win on 2026-06-07? Yes 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-99%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Golden Knights 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Andorra win on 2026-06-04? No 50¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $260 +$65 +25%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $259 −$78 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $144 +$32 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $371 −$66 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $111 −$2 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $110 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $238 −$119 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET Jun 11 $217 −$58 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $896 −$137 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $134 −$17 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $245 −$44 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 10 $260 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $269 −$87 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ET Jun 10 $105 +$2 +2%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $1,581 −$171 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5PM ET Jun 08 $183 −$42 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4PM ET Jun 08 $200 −$50 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2PM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $291 −$76 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 08 $107 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6AM ET Jun 08 $265 −$82 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4AM ET Jun 08 $117 −$10 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2AM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10PM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8PM ET Jun 08 $177 +$40 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET Jun 08 $164 −$82 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7PM ET Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6PM ET Jun 07 $100 −$1 -1%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $200 −$50 -25%
Will Kosovo win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $100 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12PM ET Jun 07 $200 −$50 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11AM ET Jun 07 $198 −$49 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10AM ET Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 9AM ET Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8AM ET Jun 07 $154 −$27 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7AM ET Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6AM ET Jun 07 $227 −$63 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4AM ET Jun 07 $114 +$8 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2AM ET Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10PM ET Jun 07 $100 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 53% −$1,561
sports 31% −$500
other 16% −$227
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 8¢ $16 37m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 91¢ $110 39m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 91¢ $23 39m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 91¢ $9 39m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 90¢ $41 40m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 41m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 90¢ $103 41m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $17 41m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $0 41m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 90¢ $82 41m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $13 42m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $4 42m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 45¢ $18 50m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 45¢ $1 50m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 45¢ $1 50m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 45¢ $33 51m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $2 51m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 46¢ $38 52m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $13 53m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $1 53m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 51¢ $95 59m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 55¢ $49 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 43¢ $5 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 58¢ $57 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 58¢ $4 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 59¢ $4 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 43¢ $9 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 43¢ $64 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 55¢ $80 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 55¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 -13.8% -22.0% 12% 8% -28.2%
≤30d 108 -1.7% -11.1% 11% 8% -27.1%
≤90d 108 -1.7% -11.1% 11% 8% -27.1%
all 108 -1.7% -11.1% 11% 8% -27.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 8% -27.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 6% -34.1%
15% -27.4% 4% -40.5%
20% -34.5% 4% -46.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.65 · official $0.25 · 941 history records