Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:44:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
ED 0xed6d…3f05 crypto 1498 markets active 13h ago coverage 17d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 16d only
✗ bot/MM pace (115 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$33 (-0%) realized −$33 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate83%1240W / 258L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day115.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$4
14 days−$42
30 days−$80
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$80
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (115 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -2.3% -11.6% 88% 88% -11.7%
≤30d 1498 -0.0% -9.5% 83% 1% -10.0%
≤90d 1498 -0.0% -9.5% 83% 1% -10.0%
all 1498 -0.0% -9.5% 83% 1% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover115.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 1% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 0% -18.6%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.15 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.71 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses1240 / 258
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1498 / 1498
History coverage17d ⚠
Avg bet$11
Trades / day115.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1498 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records