Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:10:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
ED 0xed69…de01 crypto 2007 markets active 2h ago coverage 57d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 56d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL +$144 (+1%) realized +$144 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate57%1181W / 905L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day37.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,523
7 days−$1,368
14 days−$1,329
30 days−$1,095
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$291
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 432 -56.6% -60.7% 22% 22% -76.4%
≤30d 848 -15.0% -23.1% 45% 44% -39.9%
≤90d 2086 -9.7% -18.3% 57% 56% -22.1%
all 2086 -9.7% -18.3% 57% 56% -22.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover37.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.3% 56% -22.1%
10% ← realistic here -26.1% 50% -29.6%
15% -33.2% 41% -36.4%
20% -39.8% 36% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -14% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$6 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

57d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$144
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses1181 / 905
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2086 / 2007
History coverage57d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day37.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2086 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$2 -2034%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $28 −$28 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -112%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records