Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:09:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed65…6673
weather · 363 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$331 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$622 · open −$167
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$114
Realized+$622
Unrealized−$167
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses264 / 97
Whale WR (big bets)91%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)361 / 363
History coverage138d
Avg bet$259
Trades / day13.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 361 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$552
7 days−$582
14 days−$450
30 days−$341
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 68¢ 100¢ $78 $114 +$37 (+47%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $204 $0 −$203 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? Jun 13 $654 −$654 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 −$4 -54%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11? Jun 12 $494 +$96 +19%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 11? Jun 12 $58 +$10 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 11? Jun 11 $40 −$29 -73%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 10? Jun 11 $88 −$88 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 10? Jun 11 $270 +$9 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 9? Jun 10 $43 −$43 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 9? Jun 10 $350 +$4 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 8? Jun 09 $851 +$50 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 8? Jun 08 $10 −$6 -56%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 6? Jun 07 $344 +$73 +21%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 5? Jun 06 $619 +$81 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 5? Jun 05 $10 −$9 -85%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 4? Jun 05 $230 +$40 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 3? Jun 04 $252 +$18 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 3? Jun 04 $361 +$41 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 3? Jun 03 $14 −$13 -92%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 2? Jun 03 $105 +$21 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 2? Jun 02 $8 −$8 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 1? Jun 02 $14 +$2 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 1? Jun 02 $53 +$10 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 1? Jun 02 $488 +$59 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on June 1? Jun 01 $112 −$112 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 29? May 30 $260 +$53 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 29? May 30 $330 +$44 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 29? May 29 $12 −$1 -7%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 28? May 29 $127 +$37 +29%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 28? May 29 $358 +$34 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 26? May 28 $29 −$29 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 26? May 27 $125 +$18 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 26? May 27 $393 −$52 -13%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on May 26? May 26 $18 +$2 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 26? May 26 $10 −$6 -56%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 25? May 26 $178 +$6 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 25? May 26 $351 +$18 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on May 24? May 25 $20 +$5 +25%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or higher on May 24? May 24 $10 +$3 +32%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 23? May 24 $626 +$51 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 23? May 23 $26 −$23 -88%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 22? May 23 $112 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 20? May 22 $59 −$26 -44%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 14? May 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on May 22? May 22 $28 −$28 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 20? May 22 $24 −$24 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 20? May 22 $27 −$27 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on May 22? May 22 $24 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 20? May 21 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 20? May 21 $465 −$104 -22%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 15? May 15 $65 +$11 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 84% −$49
world 13% +$220
crypto 2% +$12
other 1% +$236
sports 0% +$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 68¢ $79 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 23¢ $78 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $412 21h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $197 30h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $381 31h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? BUY Yes 97¢ $32 31h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 12? SELL Yes 6¢ $4 31h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? BUY Yes 88¢ $18 31h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 12? BUY Yes 13¢ $8 31h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? BUY Yes 88¢ $26 31h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11? BUY Yes 90¢ $108 2d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11? BUY Yes 95¢ $201 2d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11? BUY Yes 94¢ $66 2d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11? BUY Yes 91¢ $34 2d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 11? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11? BUY Yes 61¢ $31 2d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 11? SELL Yes 13¢ $10 2d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 11? BUY No 84¢ $15 2d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 11? BUY No 84¢ $19 2d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 11? BUY No 85¢ $24 2d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11? BUY Yes 57¢ $4 2d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11? BUY Yes 56¢ $25 2d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11? BUY Yes 49¢ $0 2d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11? BUY Yes 49¢ $18 2d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11? BUY Yes 49¢ $6 2d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 11? BUY Yes 40¢ $40 2d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 10? BUY Yes 96¢ $5 3d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 10? BUY Yes 96¢ $24 3d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 10? BUY Yes 96¢ $66 3d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 10? BUY Yes 97¢ $175 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -34.6% -40.8% 50% 25% -25.9%
≤30d 54 -21.3% -28.8% 59% 37% -12.5%
≤90d 250 -1.9% -11.3% 69% 30% -9.1%
all 361 -0.9% -10.4% 73% 27% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.4% 27% -8.9%
10% -18.9% 13% -17.6%
15% -26.8% 8% -25.6%
20% -33.9% 5% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $114.47 · official $114.47 (match) · 2135 history records