Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:52:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed5d…901e
crypto · 8 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$5 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$6
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses4 / 3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)7 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day16.0
Drawdown65%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 64¢ 38¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-40%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$11 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +47%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+4.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +15.1% +4.1% 57% 43% +1.2%
≤30d 7 +15.1% +4.1% 57% 43% +1.2%
≤90d 7 +15.1% +4.1% 57% 43% +1.2%
all 7 +15.1% +4.1% 57% 43% +1.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +4.1% 43% +1.2%
10% -5.8% 43% -8.4%
15% -14.9% 43% -17.3%
20% -23.3% 29% -25.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.20 · official $0.64 (match) · 24 history records