trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | +17.5% | +6.3% | 36% | 36% | +22.2% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +17.5% | +6.3% | 36% | 36% | +22.2% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +17.5% | +6.3% | 36% | 36% | +22.2% |
| all | 14 | +17.5% | +6.3% | 36% | 36% | +22.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +6.3% | 36% | +22.2% |
| 10% | -3.8% | 36% | +10.5% |
| 15% | -13.1% | 36% | -0.2% |
| 20% | -21.7% | 29% | -10.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 37¢ | $60 | $395 | +$335 (+558%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 13¢ | $100 | $166 | +$66 (+66%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 28¢ | 24¢ | $187 | $164 | −$23 (-12%) |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3¢ | 25¢ | $15 | $132 | +$117 (+777%) |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 13¢ | 11¢ | $138 | $115 | −$23 (-17%) |
| Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 30¢ | 32¢ | $46 | $50 | +$4 (+8%) |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 16¢ | $20 | $21 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $20 | $21 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria? | Jun 22 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | Jun 22 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 22 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 22 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $27 | −$26 | -97% |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score | Jun 21 | $11 | −$11 | -97% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $123 | +$220 | +179% |
| Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire? | Jun 21 | $10 | +$73 | +708% |
| Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5 | Jun 20 | $200 | +$90 | +45% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5 | Jun 20 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $35 | −$34 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $41 | +$47 | +113% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $102 | +$102 | +100% |