Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:24:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed41…50e4
crypto · 1781 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$39 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$39 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$39
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1594 / 206
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1800 / 1781
History coverage65d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day28.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1800 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$37
14 days−$41
30 days−$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2
sports 0% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 8h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 95¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 382 -5.1% -14.2% 86% 34% -14.7%
≤30d 965 -2.9% -12.2% 86% 42% -12.0%
≤90d 1800 -1.5% -10.8% 89% 34% -10.5%
all 1800 -1.5% -10.8% 89% 34% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 34% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 2% -19.0%
15% -27.2% 0% -26.9%
20% -34.3% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.57 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records