Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:39:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed3e…2a9e
sports · 21 markets active 0h ago
6.0score
+$19 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$26 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$918
Realized+$26
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses8 / 10
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)18 / 21
History coverage5d
Avg bet$393
Trades / day18.4
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 3 History 18 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days+$26
14 days+$26
30 days+$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $706 $704 −$2 (-0%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $101 $100 −$1 (-1%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $98 $98 −$0 (-0%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 54¢ 100¢ $8 $15 +$7 (+85%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $5,981 −$31 -0%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 $0 -8%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $9 $0 -5%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $15 +$17 +109%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $14 +$15 +109%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $73 −$25 -34%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $8 +$2 +30%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $38 +$46 +121%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $608 −$6 -1%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $4 −$1 -15%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $3 +$1 +42%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $13 +$7 +54%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $6 +$1 +16%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 09 $4 $0 -3%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 09 $4 $0 -2%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 09 $5 $0 -6%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $12 $0 +4%
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 08 $3 $0 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 99% −$49
sports 1% +$72
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 98¢ $98 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $277 18m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $636 41m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $640 41m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $449 42m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $452 43m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $358 51m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $360 51m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $417 51m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $419 53m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $216 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $217 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $650 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $653 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $532 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $535 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $349 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $351 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $662 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $665 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $855 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $860 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $269 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $271 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $557 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $560 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $2 4h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 81¢ $388 5h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $398 5h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 25¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)+12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +24.1% +12.3% 44% 39% -9.2%
≤30d 18 +24.1% +12.3% 44% 39% -9.2%
≤90d 18 +24.1% +12.3% 44% 39% -9.2%
all 18 +24.1% +12.3% 44% 39% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +12.3% 39% -9.2%
10% +1.6% 33% -17.9%
15% -8.2% 28% -25.8%
20% -17.2% 22% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $917.61 · official $917.70 (match) · 90 history records