Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:46:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed3c…e778
crypto · 199 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$51 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$51 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$51
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses122 / 77
Open positions0
Markets (closed)199 / 199
History coverage3d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day121.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 199 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44
7 days−$51
14 days−$51
30 days−$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +51%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +116%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -42%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +136%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$49
other 5% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $2 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $2 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $3 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $3 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $3 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 58m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)+3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 199 +13.8% +3.0% 61% 17% -11.8%
≤30d 199 +13.8% +3.0% 61% 17% -11.8%
≤90d 199 +13.8% +3.0% 61% 17% -11.8%
all 199 +13.8% +3.0% 61% 17% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover121.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.0% 17% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -6.9% 8% -20.2%
15% -15.9% 5% -27.9%
20% -24.1% 4% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 450 history records