Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T07:54:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
ED 0xed3b…51f2 crypto 97 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (100 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$39 (-3%) realized −$25 · open −$14
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR59%break-even
Win rate59%57W / 39L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day100.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (100 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 -5.4% -14.4% 59% 59% -11.1%
≤30d 96 -5.4% -14.4% 59% 59% -11.1%
≤90d 96 -5.4% -14.4% 59% 59% -11.1%
all 96 -5.4% -14.4% 59% 59% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover100.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 59% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 58% -19.6%
15% -30.1% 58% -27.3%
20% -36.9% 56% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$13 · ×0.65 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized−$25
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses57 / 39
Open positions1
Markets (closed)96 / 97
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day100.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 96 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 63¢ 8¢ $16 $2 −$14 (-87%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 39 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$11 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$16 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$11 +83%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$9 +57%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$9 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$9 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$11 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$9 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $13 −$13 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$11 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$9 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $17 −$16 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$5 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$16 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$10 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$8 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$11 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$7 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$10 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$9 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $17 +$8 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 16 $16 +$9 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $13 −$13 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$10 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $16 +$9 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $14 −$14 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $17 +$8 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $16 −$16 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 16 $16 −$16 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $16 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $16 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$10 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $11 +$7 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $17 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $16 +$9 +52%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $16 +$9 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$10 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $6 +$4 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $17 −$16 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $16 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $16 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $14 28m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $14 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $16 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $16 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $16 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $13 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $17 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $16 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $16 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $24 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $14 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $14 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $15 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $16 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $17 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $14 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.12 · official $4.62 · 154 history records