Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:44:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed37…da3b
crypto · 1496 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$334 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$334 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$334
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses1045 / 544
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1589 / 1496
History coverage26d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day121.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1589 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$296
7 days−$143
14 days−$189
30 days−$334
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 57¢ 57¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$3 -524%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-09? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-10? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-10? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$58
sports 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $7 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $7 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $7 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $7 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 920 -7.2% -16.1% 70% 59% -11.6%
≤30d 1589 -7.6% -16.4% 66% 59% -12.8%
≤90d 1589 -7.6% -16.4% 66% 59% -12.8%
all 1589 -7.6% -16.4% 66% 59% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover121.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 59% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 47% -21.1%
15% -31.7% 32% -28.7%
20% -38.4% 18% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.02 · official $3.88 (match) · 3500 history records