Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:08:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed37…e10e
sports · 566 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
−$220 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$212 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$89
Realized−$212
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses273 / 273
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions20
Markets (closed)546 / 566
History coverage537d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 20 History 546 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$43
14 days−$36
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 100¢ $6 $13 +$7 (+110%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Alycia Parks 28¢ 23¢ $8 $6 −$1 (-19%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+4%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 39¢ 42¢ $6 $6 +$1 (+9%)
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 33¢ 34¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+4%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 48¢ 46¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Rune Eaters 53¢ 50¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-6%)
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 40¢ 36¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-11%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 35¢ 34¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-7%)
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 14¢ 10¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-29%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-29%)
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 66¢ 66¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Ursa 44¢ 44¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 66¢ 62¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-6%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 Under 56¢ 56¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Set 1 Winner: Arnaldi vs Cobolli Cobolli 61¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-18%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 22¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-58%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 52¢ 52¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $1 $0 -9%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $5 +$2 +47%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 13 $6 +$10 +170%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +57%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$1 -13%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Set Handicap: Shevchenko (-1.5) vs Sachko (+1.5) Jun 13 $8 −$8 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $6 −$5 -88%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$1 +25%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $4 +$1 +27%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $3 +$2 +48%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $6 +$2 +33%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $6 +$1 +21%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2 $0 -22%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $6 +$4 +73%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $6 +$3 +51%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $8 −$3 -38%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $5 +$7 +145%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 +$1 +129%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 +$5 +105%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $1 +$1 +101%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $6 +$2 +33%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $3 +$2 +54%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $8 +$12 +153%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $6 +$4 +74%
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 10 $4 +$1 +27%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $6 +$2 +31%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 W Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 10 $6 −$6 -99%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5) Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics Jun 09 $3 +$2 +50%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $6 +$4 +64%
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs STEP (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 08 $6 +$7 +116%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% −$206
other 21% −$19
crypto 3% $0
politics 0% $0
world 0% +$2
finance 0% +$4
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 65¢ $3 45m
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? BUY Yes 52¢ $2 53m
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? BUY Yes 52¢ $1 53m
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 87¢ $1 54m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stag BUY Ursa 44¢ $1 1h
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 35¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stag BUY Ursa 44¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 62¢ $3 2h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) SELL 9z 100¢ $1 2h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) SELL 9z 100¢ $15 2h
Switzerland leading at halftime? SELL Yes 100¢ $1 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 100¢ $5 3h
Switzerland leading at halftime? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 BUY Under 56¢ $1 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 79¢ $2 3h
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? BUY Yes 65¢ $3 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 63¢ $3 3h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 96¢ $1 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 61¢ $3 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $2 4h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 64¢ $3 4h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? SELL No 95¢ $1 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Alycia Parks 23¢ $1 8h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $2 8h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $1 8h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY Vitality 65¢ $2 8h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $1 8h
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 8h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Alycia Parks 20¢ $3 8h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 52¢ $0 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 +8.0% -2.3% 64% 61% +7.2%
≤30d 236 -3.2% -12.4% 56% 56% -7.9%
≤90d 239 -3.1% -12.3% 56% 56% -7.9%
all 546 -4.1% -13.2% 50% 49% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.2% 49% -12.5%
10% -21.5% 47% -20.9%
15% -29.1% 39% -28.5%
20% -36.0% 32% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $88.62 · official $88.27 (match) · 1182 history records