Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T08:48:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
ED 0xed36…4211 crypto 2018 markets active 2h ago coverage 13d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 12d only
✗ bot/MM pace (275 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,032 (-177%) realized −$1,032 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -57% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -67% what you keep after slip
Net edge-67%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate3%16W / 514L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$0per market
Trades / day274.7pace
Kalshi-fit75%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$237
7 days−$223
14 days−$268
30 days−$268
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 76% −$20
other 24% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (275 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-60.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 383 -67.4% -70.5% 3% 3% -93.2%
≤30d 530 -56.6% -60.8% 3% 3% -93.2%
≤90d 530 -56.6% -60.8% 3% 3% -93.2%
all 530 -56.6% -60.8% 3% 3% -93.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover274.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -60.8% 3% -93.2%
10% ← realistic here -64.5% 3% -93.8%
15% -67.9% 3% -94.4%
20% -71.1% 3% -95.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -82% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -57% · $-wt -82% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -29% → late -85% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$1 · ×5.13 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.16 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,032
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses16 / 514
Open positions0
Markets (closed)530 / 2018
History coverage13d ⚠
Avg bet$0
Trades / day274.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 530 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records