Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:35:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
ED 0xed35…b9a8 crypto 238 markets active 7d ago coverage 222d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,069 (-10%) realized −$1,069 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -21% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate39%92W / 146L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day2.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$108
14 days−$108
30 days−$161
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,790
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-28.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -26.3% -33.4% 44% 22% -19.2%
≤30d 52 -24.3% -31.5% 44% 31% -21.6%
≤90d 238 -21.3% -28.8% 39% 35% -27.0%
all 238 -21.3% -28.8% 39% 35% -27.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.8% 35% -27.0%
10% -35.6% 31% -34.0%
15% -41.8% 28% -40.4%
20% -47.5% 21% -46.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -20% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -21% · $-wt -20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -12% → late -31% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$28 vs −$30 · ×0.93 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

222d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,069
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses92 / 146
Open positions0
Markets (closed)238 / 238
History coverage222d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 238 Trades
no open positions (123 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $71 −$70 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $31 −$25 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $37 −$5 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $35 −$28 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $112 +$58 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $59 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $31 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $36 +$27 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $50 −$20 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $52 +$8 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $78 −$7 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 10 $37 −$35 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $53 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $57 +$23 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $26 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $53 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $58 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $57 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $52 −$9 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $52 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $31 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $26 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET May 19 $20 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 19 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 19 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 19 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 19 $10 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 19 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 19 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 19 $10 +$6 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 19 $5 +$8 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 19 $31 −$22 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 19 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 19 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 19 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 19 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 19 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 19 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 19 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 19 $5 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 19 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 19 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 19 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 19 $5 +$5 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 19 $5 −$5 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $51 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $29 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $25 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $54 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $42 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $30 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $61 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 621 history records