Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:07:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed35…84fb
sports · 666 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$402 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$406 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28
Realized−$406
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses397 / 260
Est. fees paid−$66
Open positions9
Markets (closed)657 / 666
History coverage33d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day74.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 9 History 657 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$14
14 days−$14
30 days−$311
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Kimmer Coppejans 44¢ 31¢ $8 $5 −$2 (-30%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 51¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$2 (+96%)
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? No 92¢ 93¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 35¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+186%)
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Taro Daniel 54¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+84%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? No 92¢ 96¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Athletics 51¢ 52¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Over 42¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score No 55¢ 55¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $17 +$1 +6%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $2 +$1 +24%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $17 +$2 +12%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw? May 18 $5 $0 +7%
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) May 18 $1 +$1 +97%
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18? May 18 $6 $0 +3%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) May 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: AJ Auxerre (-2.5) May 18 $0 $0 +1%
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17? May 18 $2 +$5 +216%
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-17? May 18 $3 +$2 +63%
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17? May 18 $29 +$9 +32%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? May 18 $12 −$12 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) May 18 $11 +$8 +69%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5 May 18 $2 $0 +12%
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5) May 17 $2 $0 +21%
Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5 May 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5) May 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $5 +$2 +34%
Spread: Elche CF (-1.5) May 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5 May 17 $4 +$1 +18%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $33 −$17 -52%
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) May 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5 May 17 $1 $0 +20%
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5) May 17 $3 $0 +14%
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 5.5 May 17 $10 $0 -1%
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5 May 17 $19 $0 -0%
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5 May 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $214 +$8 +4%
Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5) May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Aarhus GF vs. Viborg FF end in a draw? May 17 $2 $0 +14%
Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5 May 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $11 −$4 -42%
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5) May 17 $1 $0 +4%
Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 0.5 May 17 $1 $0 +8%
West Ham United FC leading at halftime? May 17 $1 $0 +36%
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5) May 17 $1 $0 +46%
Will Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw? May 17 $1 $0 +31%
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $2 $0 +14%
Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5 May 17 $3 $0 +9%
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $2 +$1 +73%
Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 2.5 May 17 $41 −$1 -2%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: Draw at halftime? May 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5 May 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5 May 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 67% +$59
other 24% −$43
crypto 9% −$418
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 50¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 51¢ $2 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 55¢ $1 1h
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 54¢ $2 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 44¢ $4 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 44¢ $4 1h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Athletics 51¢ $2 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 35¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $2 2h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 94¢ $17 2h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 80¢ $2 2h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 88¢ $4 26h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 88¢ $6 26h
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava BUY Emilio Nava 38¢ $15 26h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 90¢ $6 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $0 25d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $0 25d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $7 25d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 25d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $0 25d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 25d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $1 25d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $11 25d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $16 25d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $0 25d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $0 25d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 25d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $0 25d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $0 25d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $13 25d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -31.5% -38.0% 60% 40% -33.0%
≤30d 342 -9.8% -18.4% 57% 43% -15.3%
≤90d 657 -3.6% -12.8% 60% 47% -13.4%
all 657 -3.6% -12.8% 60% 47% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 47% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 34% -21.7%
15% -28.7% 26% -29.2%
20% -35.7% 19% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28.45 · official $28.45 (match) · 2964 history records