Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:00:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
ED 0xed2f…9897 crypto 23 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (525 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$9,832 (+29%) realized +$9,832 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +42% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +5% what you keep after slip
Net edge+5%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate43%10W / 13L
Whale WR83%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,466per market
Trades / day525.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$9,369
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (525 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+28.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +42.4% +28.8% 43% 43% +17.1%
≤30d 23 +42.4% +28.8% 43% 43% +17.1%
≤90d 23 +42.4% +28.8% 43% 43% +17.1%
all 23 +42.4% +28.8% 43% 43% +17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover525.1 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +28.8% 43% +17.1%
10% +16.5% 43% +5.9%
15% ← realistic here +5.2% 43% -4.3%
20% -5.1% 39% -13.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 34% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +28% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +42% · $-wt +28% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 83% (≥$2,085) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +36% → late +48% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
30.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2,618 vs −$1,293 · ×2.02 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.56 per $1 lost it wins $1.56
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$9,832
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses10 / 13
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)23 / 23
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,466
Trades / day525.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 23 Trades
no open positions (13 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $156 −$156 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $320 −$300 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $122 −$122 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $179 −$172 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $2,716 +$4,385 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $418 −$400 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1,043 −$950 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2,085 +$3,233 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $2,324 +$2,341 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $463 +$4,470 +964%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $11,451 −$11,451 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $209 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $983 +$893 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Jun 14 $4,034 +$4,039 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $2,068 −$2,000 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 14 $2,485 +$3,107 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1,042 −$1,000 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $1,048 +$2,139 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $475 +$1,553 +327%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$19 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 719 history records