Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed29…3024
sports · 457 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$544 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$503 · open −$33
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized−$503
Unrealized−$33
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses192 / 263
Est. fees paid−$46
Open positions2
Markets (closed)455 / 457
History coverage170d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day8.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 2 History 455 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$272
7 days+$569
14 days+$202
30 days+$205
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 12? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming Youth Team 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Winner CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 9? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 3¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 BNK FearX Youth 14¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 10? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on June 10? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 21¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on May 28? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 7? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner G2 Esports 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 43¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 9? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 9? No 51¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $38 +$2 +5%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $94 −$66 -70%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $93 +$137 +148%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $162 +$111 +68%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $145 +$130 +89%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $346 +$14 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $66 −$10 -15%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $24 −$12 -48%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +43%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 $0 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 11? Jun 12 $4 −$2 -52%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 11? Jun 12 $47 −$33 -71%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $41 +$8 +20%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win Jun 11 $58 +$15 +26%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 11? Jun 11 $7 −$4 -51%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $71 −$3 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $9 +$25 +273%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 11? Jun 11 $14 −$3 -25%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $9 −$2 -20%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $26 −$19 -74%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $260 +$6 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $66 +$2 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $128 −$10 -8%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $25 +$55 +221%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 10 $15 −$7 -48%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $39 −$38 -98%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $16 −$16 -98%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10? Jun 10 $16 +$8 +47%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10? Jun 10 $8 −$7 -85%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 10 $103 +$262 +254%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $16 −$16 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $8 −$6 -66%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 10? Jun 10 $227 −$170 -75%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $59 −$5 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $42 −$34 -81%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10? Jun 10 $109 +$26 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $6 −$5 -87%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $7 −$7 -90%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 10? Jun 10 $54 −$1 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 10? Jun 10 $15 −$14 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on June 10? Jun 10 $13 −$12 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 10? Jun 10 $7 −$7 -95%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 9? Jun 09 $39 −$37 -96%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $101 −$46 -45%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 9? Jun 09 $3 +$44 +1336%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 9? Jun 09 $233 +$26 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 +$28 +1205%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 54% −$747
sports 28% +$463
other 17% −$170
crypto 1% −$109
world 1% +$16
politics 0% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? BUY Yes 49¢ $21 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 13¢ $40 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 8¢ $9 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 9¢ $9 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 20¢ $20 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 3¢ $33 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 11¢ $16 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 19¢ $9 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 23¢ $24 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 37¢ $38 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $200 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 23¢ $24 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 39¢ $40 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 31¢ $30 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 29¢ $30 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $92 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 29¢ $27 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 73¢ $1 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 73¢ $15 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 73¢ $7 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 24¢ $6 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 24¢ $2 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 21¢ $21 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 27¢ $28 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 70¢ $66 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 71¢ $33 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 67¢ $31 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 59¢ $6 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $99 5h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 12? SELL Yes 99¢ $121 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 +24.5% +12.7% 39% 33% +4.2%
≤30d 148 +10.0% -0.4% 38% 28% -6.6%
≤90d 320 -25.4% -32.5% 28% 22% -20.8%
all 455 -4.5% -13.6% 42% 37% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.6% 37% -12.3%
10% -21.9% 32% -20.7%
15% -29.4% 28% -28.3%
20% -36.4% 23% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.48 · official $19.48 (match) · 1619 history records