Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T01:45:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
ED 0xed25…2241 crypto 44 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (200 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$23 (-2%) realized −$22 · open −$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate37%16W / 27L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$24per market
Trades / day200.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$56
other 1% −$12
sports 1% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (200 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-22.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -14.1% -22.3% 37% 37% -14.9%
≤30d 43 -14.1% -22.3% 37% 37% -14.9%
≤90d 43 -14.1% -22.3% 37% 37% -14.9%
all 43 -14.1% -22.3% 37% 37% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover200.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.3% 37% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -29.7% 33% -23.1%
15% -36.5% 33% -30.5%
20% -42.7% 30% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 42% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -26% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$29 vs −$20 · ×1.46 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$22
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses16 / 27
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)43 / 44
History coverage1d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day200.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 43 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 19 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $126 −$119 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $96 −$44 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $53 −$46 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $58 +$112 +195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $47 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $69 −$65 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $41 +$44 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $42 −$29 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $37 +$59 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$20 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $21 +$36 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $47 +$80 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$10 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$33 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $32 −$26 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $36 +$15 +42%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $16 +$20 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$10 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$7 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$9 +88%
Will Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO? Jun 15 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -96%
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 15 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -94%
Will the fight be won by submission? Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$11 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? SELL Yes 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 215 history records