Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed22…3dd0
politics · 10 markets active 603d ago
0.0score
+$5,356,585 +417%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,356,585 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY politics specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Net worth$0
Realized+$5,356,585
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses8 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)10 / 10
History coverage7d
Avg bet$128,503
Trades / day507.2
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 0 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%? Yes $264 $0 −$264 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 15 $3,847 +$65,849 +1712%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Nov 12 $10,800 +$19,200 +178%
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi Nov 12 $51,640 +$149,915 +290%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 07 $66,522 +$73,478 +110%
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? Nov 07 $8,400 +$56,600 +674%
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? Nov 07 $918 +$118,051 +12862%
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? Nov 07 $2,019 +$121,629 +6024%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 07 $1,130,616 +$4,752,127 +420%
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presiden Oct 13 $10,000 $0 +0%
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%? Oct 12 $264 −$264 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 100% +$5,356,848
other 0% −$264
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $922 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $5,689 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 61¢ $4,385 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $1,073 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $787 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $980 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $880 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $2,945 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $3,255 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $7,861 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $1,842 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $572 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $6 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $265 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $1,546 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $1,551 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $753 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $19 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $962 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $7 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $771 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $264 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $32 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $43 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $10,290 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 61¢ $542 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 61¢ $614 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 61¢ $6 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 61¢ $577 602d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 61¢ $646 602d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +80%
net ROI/market (all)+649.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 10 +728.4% +649.5% 80% 80% +354.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover507.2 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +649.5% 80% +354.9%
10% +577.8% 80% +311.4%
15% ← realistic here +512.3% 80% +271.6%
20% +452.3% 80% +235.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records