Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:36:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xed10…5e7a
crypto · 125 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
−$2,531 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,521 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,274
Realized−$2,521
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses94 / 30
Whale WR (big bets)81%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)124 / 125
History coverage115d
Avg bet$481
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 124 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$753
7 days+$753
14 days+$753
30 days+$753
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $1,284 $1,274 −$10 (-1%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner Team Spirit 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs Aurora 25¢ 0¢ $1,993 $0 −$1,993 (-100%)
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner MOUZ 23¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $889 $0 −$889 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 BetBoom Team 40¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 Aurora 44¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 Xtreme Gaming 70¢ 0¢ $930 $0 −$930 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 56¢ 0¢ $416 $0 −$416 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 Aurora 84¢ 0¢ $769 $0 −$769 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner Xtreme Gaming 36¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 3 Winner DN Freecs 78¢ 0¢ $629 $0 −$629 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Team Falcons 65¢ 0¢ $744 $0 −$744 (-100%)
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner Tundra Esports 63¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner Aurora 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1,141 +$159 +14%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $546 +$596 +109%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET May 14 $518 +$320 +62%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group St Mar 08 $942 −$942 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Mar 07 $585 +$358 +61%
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Mar 07 $298 +$287 +96%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs Mar 01 $1,993 −$1,993 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 Feb 27 $930 −$930 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Feb 27 $576 +$54 +9%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 Feb 27 $299 +$577 +193%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Feb 27 $416 −$416 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Feb 27 $350 +$65 +19%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 Feb 26 $77 −$50 -65%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner Feb 26 $6 −$6 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 Feb 26 $20 $0 -2%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner Feb 26 $335 +$52 +16%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 Feb 26 $290 +$72 +25%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 Feb 26 $2,451 +$838 +34%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Feb 26 $1,982 +$471 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Feb 26 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Feb 26 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Feb 26 $8 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 Feb 25 $769 −$769 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 Feb 25 $585 +$184 +31%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 Feb 25 $15 −$15 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner Feb 25 $13 −$13 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 Winner Feb 25 $498 +$114 +23%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner Feb 25 $393 +$105 +27%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner Feb 25 $294 +$99 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Feb 25 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Feb 25 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner Feb 25 $307 +$76 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Feb 25 $306 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Feb 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Feb 25 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Feb 25 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Feb 25 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Feb 21 $890 −$889 -100%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner Feb 21 $85 −$85 -100%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner Feb 21 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Feb 21 $981 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Feb 21 $959 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Feb 21 $971 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Feb 21 $950 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Feb 21 $931 +$19 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Feb 21 $869 +$43 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Feb 21 $861 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Feb 21 $912 +$9 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 67% −$158
sports 27% −$3,196
other 5% +$743
finance 1% +$80
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $1,298 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 93¢ $1,300 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $1,141 17h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,142 18h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 24h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $546 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $838 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $104 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $104 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $104 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $104 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $104 30d
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group St BUY Tundra Esports 69¢ $942 98d
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $942 98d
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage BUY Team Liquid 62¢ $585 98d
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage SELL Aurora 100¢ $585 98d
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage BUY Aurora 51¢ $298 98d
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs BUY Aurora 25¢ $1,993 104d
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 BUY Xtreme Gaming 71¢ $630 106d
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner SELL Xtreme Gaming 100¢ $630 106d
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner BUY Xtreme Gaming 91¢ $576 106d
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 BUY Xtreme Gaming 68¢ $300 106d
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $876 106d
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 BUY Team Liquid 34¢ $299 106d
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 56¢ $416 106d
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $416 106d
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 78¢ $350 106d
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 BUY Aurora 44¢ $50 107d
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Aurora 8¢ $6 107d
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 SELL Team Falcons 48¢ $20 107d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-21.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +7.7% -2.5% 67% 67% +30.8%
≤30d 3 +7.7% -2.5% 67% 67% +30.8%
≤90d 4 +21.2% +9.7% 75% 75% +34.5%
all 124 -13.6% -21.9% 76% 22% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.9% 22% -13.4%
10% -29.3% 12% -21.7%
15% -36.2% 5% -29.3%
20% -42.4% 4% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,274.42 · official $1,274.42 (match) · 339 history records