Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:16:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
ED 0xed0c…5647 crypto 2044 markets active 0h ago coverage 105d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 104d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$358 (+1%) realized +$358 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate59%1164W / 795L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day21.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$66
7 days+$84
14 days+$141
30 days+$123
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$73
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 236 +14.7% +3.8% 57% 57% -2.6%
≤30d 887 +5.3% -4.7% 55% 54% -5.5%
≤90d 1818 +1.2% -8.4% 58% 57% -9.2%
all 1959 +1.1% -8.5% 59% 58% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 58% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 51% -18.2%
15% -25.3% 44% -26.1%
20% -32.6% 38% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$16 vs −$24 · ×0.68 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

105d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$358
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses1164 / 795
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1959 / 2044
History coverage105d ⚠
Avg bet$25
Trades / day21.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1959 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$4 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$24 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$23 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $17 −$17 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$18 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$17 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$29 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$24 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3478 history records