Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:28:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
ED 0xed0c…7d5c crypto 708 markets active 6d ago coverage 47d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$2,693 (+18%) realized +$2,693 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -26% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -43% what you keep after slip
Net edge-43%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate26%179W / 499L
Drawdown70%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day57.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$266
14 days+$641
30 days+$914
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,599
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-32.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 -49.6% -54.4% 20% 17% -40.5%
≤30d 551 -28.7% -35.5% 24% 21% -10.0%
≤90d 678 -25.5% -32.6% 26% 24% -5.1%
all 678 -25.5% -32.6% 26% 24% -5.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover57.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.6% 24% -5.1%
10% ← realistic here -39.1% 22% -14.2%
15% -45.0% 20% -22.5%
20% -50.3% 18% -30.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +12% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -26% · $-wt +12% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late -36% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$52 vs −$15 · ×3.37 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.21 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

47d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,693
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses179 / 499
Open positions0
Markets (closed)678 / 708
History coverage47d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day57.8
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 678 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$9 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $27 +$2 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$12 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$10 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $35 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$10 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$5 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $29 −$27 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET Jun 11 $23 +$14 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $82 +$34 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $32 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 11 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$111 +363%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $46 −$20 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 11 $52 −$27 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $32 −$26 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $46 +$24 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $17 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$5 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $34 −$5 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$8 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $37 −$35 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $4 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $11 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $14 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $4 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2871 history records