trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -14.4% | -22.6% | 38% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -12.6% | -21.0% | 44% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 43% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 21 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 43% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -15.3% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -23.4% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -30.8% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -37.6% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 59¢ | 68¢ | $3,944 | $4,550 | +$606 (+15%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 91¢ | 92¢ | $592 | $595 | +$3 (+1%) |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $175 | $162 | −$12 (-7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $62,184 | +$831 | +1% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $518 | −$44 | -8% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $4,791 | +$209 | +4% |
| Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA Worl | Jun 19 | $890 | −$74 | -8% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $12,960 | −$160 | -1% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $47,232 | +$797 | +2% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $31,803 | −$1,577 | -5% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $504 | −$503 | -100% |
| LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & | Jun 08 | $220 | +$4 | +2% |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026? | May 20 | $1,912 | +$16 | +1% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | May 19 | $76 | +$2 | +2% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 19 | $241 | $0 | +0% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies | May 18 | $787 | −$26 | -3% |
| Internationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykova | May 18 | $930 | −$30 | -3% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | May 18 | $230 | $0 | +0% |
| GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Moyuka Uchijima | May 18 | $690 | −$20 | -3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? | May 18 | $15 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 18 | $192 | −$30 | -16% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? | May 18 | $728 | −$1 | -0% |
| Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group S | May 18 | $1,281 | +$40 | +3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | May 18 | $300 | $0 | -0% |